The global projection model of Holden et al.
Ophthalmology, 2016 · all age groups.
95% CI: 43,4–55,7% . Projection, not measurement of the future. The calculations come from the authors of the model, not from the WHO.
Myopia.
Today's decisions.
We have our whole life ahead of us.
Today's children will then be adults.
A whole-life perspective changes the meaning of the question about vision. It's not just about sharpness on today's board. It is also about the condition of the child's eyes when he or she enters adulthood.
2050 will be 30 years old.
Example of time lapse. It does not predict the defect or treatment outcome.
MANIFEST #PunktZwrotny2050
Manifest Source"Ladies and Gentlemen, if we do not turn from this path, we will face a severe myopia pandemic that cannot be cured by any means. It can only be stopped by decisive, coordinated intervention - and this intervention must start today.
Either we take action now, promoting proven, synergistic treatment systems based on red light therapy, or we condemn subsequent generations to life with progressive visual impairment, retinal complications and huge health, mental and social costs that may paralyze the functioning of entire societies."
Ophthalmology, 2016 · all age groups.
95% CI: 43,4–55,7% . Projection, not measurement of the future. The calculations come from the authors of the model, not from the WHO.
British Journal of Ophthalmology · online 2024, volume 2025. A different population, research base and model. This is not a correction to the Holden figure.
Liang et al. · DOI and populationCLAIM-LIANGThey concern other populations and other models. None is the percentage predicted for Polish children.
Holden covers the entire world population and uses demographic and urbanization data. Liang analyzes children and adolescents. Differences in age, input, and modeling prevent these values from being treated as two measurements of the same group.
First, the scale of the problem. Then the consequences, the world's response and opportunities for action. For each conclusion: the source and limits of what we know.
See how we select evidenceCorrection helps you see clearly. It does not automatically remove the risks associated with structural changes in the eye.
SEE DATAThe risk of some vision-threatening diseases increases with the severity of myopia and the length of the eye axis.
This is a population dependency. It is not an individual prediction of vision loss.
Beginning of the "Good to See" regional pilot.
Completion of the pilot. Further diagnostics are needed.
School prevention and local programs. Question about consistent monitoring.
Visual acuity screening ≠ diagnosis of myopia. Local program ≠ national system.
Some systems have treated children's vision as a public task.
Singapore, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan and Poland - different activities, different scope, specific documents.
OPEN FACILITY MAPThere is no single method that is suitable for every child. The decision should start with the child, measurement and conversation.
Go through the evidence historyAn informed decision requires a discussion about possible courses of action, expected benefits, limitations and risks.
Right to information · MPC