What does this source bring?
Holden et al.'s model (2016) estimated 49,8% myopia in the world population in 2050. It is a projection, not a measurement of the future.
145 research; extrapolating trends and replacing missing data with data from similar regions. 95% CI for 2050 : 43,4–55,7% . High myopia in this model: ≤− 5,00 D. The calculation was not made by WHO.
CLAIM-HOLDENScope of testing and verification
- The role of the record
- Source of the claim
- Population
- The entire world population, all age groups
- N
- 2100000
- Geography
- Globally
- Observation (months)
- Not applicable / not determined within the verified range
- Comparator
- Not applicable / no common comparator
- Result
- Holden et al.'s model (2016) estimated 49,8% myopia in the world population in 2050. It is a projection, not a measurement of the future.
- Safety
- This record does not allow estimation of the frequency of rare adverse events.
- Device/structure
- Not applicable / not determined within the verified range
- Publisher of the publication
- Elsevier BV
- Financing
- Not determined within the proven range; see the declaration in full text.
- Conflicts of interest
- Not determined within the proven range. The absence of confirmation does not mean the absence of conflict.
- DOI
- 10.1016 /j.ophtha. 2016.01.006
- PMID
- 26875007
- What was checked
- Bibliographic metadata and abstract in Europe PMC / PubMed
- Date of verification
- 2026-09-09
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